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Alexander Ovechkin Vs Wayne Gretzky: Can Alex Ovechkin Possibly Surpass Wayne Gretzky’s Career Goal Total?

If we take that 0.60 goals-per-game rates and average it out, we discover that Ovechkin has a chance to tie Gretzky’s record during the 2023–2024 or 2024–2025 season. This is based on the fact that Ovechkin has a chance to equalize Gretzky’s history during the 2023–2024 or 2024–2025 season. Let’s see about “Alexander Ovechkin Vs. Wayne Gretzky.”

Who are Alexander Ovechkin and Wayne Gretzky?

Alex Ovechkin, a top player for the Washington Capitals, scored the 767th goal on Tuesday, putting his name with some of the all-time greats in National Hockey League history (again). At the 15:02 mark of the second period, Ovechkin scored the historic goal as the Washington Capitals were playing the New York Islanders.

Ovechkin moved into third place on the all-time goals list for the National Hockey League after scoring the goal, pushing him over Jaromir Jagr. The most important thing to consider at this point is where the superstar player for the Capitals will stand on the list of all-time goals if and when he decides to hang up his skates.

Ovechkin now sits in fifth place in the league regarding goals scored, with 37 to his name during the first half of the 2021-22 season. Since the start of the current campaign, Ovechkin has moved up the all-time goals list, above Brett Hull, Marcel Dionne, and now Jaromir Jagr. The winger for the Capitals moved past Dionne for fifth place on the all-time list with a two-goal performance in the team’s season opener. He then drove past Hull in November to take over the fifth position on the record.

Alex Ovechkin’s goal total might surpass Wayne Gretzky’s.

Ovechkin will now turn his attention to catching Wayne Gretzky’s all-time goals record of 894 tallies now that he has Jagr in his rear-view mirror.

If you want to do the arithmetic at home, Ovechkin is presently 127 goals behind Gretzky’s total number of goals scored. At this point, Gretzky has participated in 241 games, more than Ovechkin has. Gretzky finished his career with an average of 0.61 goals per game, and Ovechkin presently holds an average of 0.61 goals.

Take a look at the following statistics about Ovechkin over the past five years to get an idea of how prolific his scoring rate has been as he has gotten older:

2017–18 campaign: 49 goals scored, for an average of 0.60 goals per game across 82 matches
51 goals scored and 0.63 goals scored per game in 81 games during the 2018-19 season
Sixty-eight games were played during the 2019-20 season, with 48 goals scored and 0.71 goals scored per game.
Twenty-four goals were scored during the 2021 season for a 0.53 goals-per-game average over 45 matches.
37 goals scored and 0.62 goals scored per game throughout 59 games in the 2021-22 season

Ovechkin is currently on track to finish the 2021-22 season with 51 goals, which would be his most extensive production since the 2018-19 season. This would make the 2021-22 season his highest performance since the 2018-19 season. If we assume that Ovechkin ends up with 51 goals this season, he will add 14 more to his overall total, resulting in him having 781 by the time this year is through and all has been said and done.

alexander ovechkin vs wayne gretzky
alexander ovechkin vs wayne gretzky

After that, Ovechkin would be 113 goals behind Gretzky for the record in goals scored in the NHL. The standout player for the Capitals has scored at least 48 goals in every one of the three complete regular seasons that have passed since he joined the team. If we assume that Ovechkin will continue to score in that general area, then there is a perfect chance that he will surpass Gretzky’s record.

If we take that 0.60 goals-per-game paces and average it out, we find that Ovechkin has a chance to match Gretzky’s record during the 2023–2024 or 2024–2025 season. This is based on the assumption that he will score an estimated 52 goals each game throughout that period. Because Ovechkin is already in his late 30s, it is unlikely that this would occur.

On the other hand, it almost looks as though Ovechkin gets better with age, so it’s not entirely out of the question.

Even if Ovechkin only gets 40 goals in each of the following four seasons combined (including the 2021-22 campaign), he will still have scored 120 goals.

It is important to note that Ovechkin has a season deserving of the MVP award this year, and most of it occurred without playmaker Nicklas Backstrom, who was battling a hip ailment, beside him. This is worth emphasizing. It is certainly not out of the realm of possibility for Ovechkin to score at least 50 goals throughout the regular season, given there are still 23 games left to play on the schedule. He would need to go on a hot run to reach that milestone, but he can do so.

Ovechkin has the most significant challenge in his attempt to surpass Gretzky’s record, and that challenge is his health. There is little reason to doubt that the Capitals winger can become the player with the most goals scored in the history of their sport if he maintains his current level of performance, which is essentially the level he has played at ever since he appeared in his first NHL game in 2005.

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